Forum releases a new study on the Internet Address space consumption
produced by Tony Hain, North American IPv6 Task Force Technology
Director and IPv6 Forum Fellow. This study demonstrates unequivocally
that the address space is melting like ice under the heat of the sun
despite strict conservation and assignment measures. We are running
into the brick wall a lot faster than assumed by previous studies.
2008 seems to be the year when the Internet address space becomes very
hard to get. This fact prompts the IPv6 Forum to send a serious call
to action to its members and to the global Internet community to get
ready for IPv6 transition prior to that date to benefit from
technology refresh and smooth transition planning.
Also see: http://www.tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ipv4-pool-combined-view.pdf
"Given the inevitability of a protocol version transition, the
greatest impediment to deployment of IPv6 is fear of the unknown.
There are differences between the versions but the fundamentals of a
packet-based technology are the same. In a controlled environment
everyone should just jump in and dissipate that cloud of fear," stated
Tony Hain, NAv6TF Technology Director and IPv6 Forum Fellow.
The remaining IPv4 pool is on a course for rapid exhaustion. Planning
ahead will allow an orderly deployment of IPv6-based infrastructure
and applications, thereby avoiding the chaos that results from haste.
Each organization should leverage the array of available tools to
sequence their deployment, leaving IPv4 in place until it is no longer
used. This approach allows each application to move independently
based on local priorities.
The exhaustion of the remaining IPv4 pool will be a significant event
that will eventually affect all network managers. The actual date of
impact will be different for each organization. For some the impact
will clearly occur at the point where they are unable to get
additional IPv4 addresses to support an expansion or new application
deployment. For others the more indirect event will be the result of
switching ISPs or subscribing to a new service. The vast majority are
likely to have their deployment date decided by the need to interact
with other organizations that have already been forced to move. Each
organization needs to internally approach this event as they did for
Y2K, though since this will be a staggered deployment based on local
need there is no hard date to focus on.
"This fine technical analysis from Mr. Tony Hain is yet more evidence
that no matter how one determines the exhaustion of IPv4 address
space, it is now time for both the industry and government IT sectors,
to begin the transition and evolution to the New Internet model with
IPv6 immediately, world wide," stated Jim Bound, IPv6 Forum CTO and
"Better safe than sorry. Get ready for the 21st Century investment in
new end-to-end innovative solutions and business models. The secret of
progress is hidden in the future and the future welcomes those that
create it," stated Latif Ladid, IPv6 Forum President.
The full study (as a PDF file), a Pragmatic Report on IPv4 Address
Space Consumption, debated with senior Internet experts concluding
with constructive consensus and recommendations, can be downloaded